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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.36+5.85vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.42+8.39vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.23+4.51vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.21+3.65vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.02+3.10vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.73+3.50vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.02-2.15vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.74+1.12vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-3.02vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.67-4.12vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.65-4.79vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.83-3.03vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.37-2.24vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.39-3.32vs Predicted
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15Boston University-0.31-0.20vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.77-6.76vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook-1.66-0.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.85Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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10.39Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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7.51Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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7.65Bowdoin College2.210.1%1st Place
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8.1Boston College2.020.1%1st Place
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9.5Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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4.85Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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9.12Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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5.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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5.88Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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6.21Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.97University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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10.76University of Vermont1.370.0%1st Place
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10.68Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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14.8Boston University-0.310.0%1st Place
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9.24Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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16.52SUNY Stony Brook-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Shakin | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Kirkman | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 5.8% | 0.4% |
| Molly Pleskus | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Catherine Price | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Downey | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 14.9% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 11.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Morecraft | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Brown | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 6.9% | 2.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 7.0% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Davis | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 49.6% | 17.7% |
| Hana Zwick | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Gaura Mudgal | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 13.8% | 78.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.