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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.25+1.16vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University1.40+1.45vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.56+1.75vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.11-0.37vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University0.21+0.16vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.03-3.12vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-0.29-2.93vs Predicted
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10Oregon State University-2.08-1.81vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-1.60-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.16University of Washington2.250.4%1st Place
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3.45Oregon State University1.400.1%1st Place
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4.75University of Washington0.560.1%1st Place
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3.63University of Washington1.110.1%1st Place
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5.16Oregon State University0.210.1%1st Place
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3.88Western Washington University1.030.1%1st Place
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6.07Northwestern University-0.290.0%1st Place
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8.19Oregon State University-2.080.0%1st Place
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7.72University of Oregon-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Thompson | 41.2% | 26.8% | 15.5% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick (Drew) Ehlers | 14.1% | 20.7% | 20.0% | 17.0% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Colin Bartels | 6.6% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 17.4% | 18.5% | 16.0% | 5.0% | 0.5% |
| Kate Flanagan | 15.0% | 16.8% | 16.5% | 18.7% | 15.3% | 11.7% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 5.5% | 6.9% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 19.0% | 18.9% | 10.1% | 1.8% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 12.3% | 14.3% | 16.5% | 16.7% | 19.7% | 12.9% | 6.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Charles Tokowitz | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 17.8% | 30.7% | 17.2% | 4.4% |
| Abby Schamp | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 7.8% | 24.2% | 58.9% |
| Sarah Raulston | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 11.6% | 40.0% | 34.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.