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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.60+2.12vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.31+1.65vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy1.95+1.17vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.70-0.93vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.74-2.01vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.92-1.81vs Predicted
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8Boston University-1.80-0.64vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-2.03-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12Brown University2.600.2%1st Place
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3.65Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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4.17Maine Maritime Academy1.950.1%1st Place
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3.07Harvard University2.700.2%1st Place
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2.99Bowdoin College2.740.2%1st Place
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4.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.920.1%1st Place
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7.36Boston University-1.800.0%1st Place
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7.45Bentley University-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helen Lord | 22.0% | 17.9% | 20.6% | 16.3% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Barclift | 14.7% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 19.5% | 19.5% | 14.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| James Gorman | 10.3% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 20.3% | 27.2% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Luke O'Connor | 20.4% | 22.3% | 17.2% | 18.7% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tom Peabody | 22.1% | 23.3% | 18.6% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 8.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Javier Ramos | 9.9% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 19.0% | 28.5% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Christian Bragdon | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 48.5% | 47.1% |
| Cassey Morello | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 43.7% | 52.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.