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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.25+1.15vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University1.40+1.43vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.11-0.19vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.56-0.42vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University0.21-0.85vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.03-3.10vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-0.29-2.91vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-1.60-2.29vs Predicted
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11Oregon State University-2.08-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15University of Washington2.250.4%1st Place
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3.43Oregon State University1.400.1%1st Place
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3.81University of Washington1.110.1%1st Place
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4.58University of Washington0.560.1%1st Place
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5.15Oregon State University0.210.1%1st Place
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3.9Western Washington University1.030.1%1st Place
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6.09Northwestern University-0.290.0%1st Place
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7.71University of Oregon-1.600.0%1st Place
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8.19Oregon State University-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Thompson | 41.8% | 26.2% | 16.3% | 9.4% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick (Drew) Ehlers | 14.8% | 20.6% | 20.1% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 9.1% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Kate Flanagan | 13.2% | 15.2% | 17.3% | 18.2% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 7.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Colin Bartels | 7.9% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 18.0% | 18.7% | 13.8% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 5.3% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 19.4% | 17.7% | 10.7% | 1.5% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 12.1% | 13.9% | 16.9% | 17.9% | 17.8% | 12.7% | 7.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Charles Tokowitz | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 16.5% | 31.8% | 16.8% | 4.7% |
| Sarah Raulston | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 10.5% | 40.4% | 34.0% |
| Abby Schamp | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 24.4% | 59.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.