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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University1.40+2.34vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.25+0.26vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.11+0.82vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.56+0.58vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University0.21+0.15vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.03-2.11vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-1.60-0.22vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University-2.08-0.82vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-0.29-3.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34Oregon State University1.400.2%1st Place
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2.26University of Washington2.250.4%1st Place
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3.82University of Washington1.110.1%1st Place
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4.58University of Washington0.560.1%1st Place
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5.15Oregon State University0.210.1%1st Place
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3.89Western Washington University1.030.1%1st Place
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7.78University of Oregon-1.600.0%1st Place
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8.18Oregon State University-2.080.0%1st Place
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6.01Northwestern University-0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick (Drew) Ehlers | 18.1% | 20.1% | 17.9% | 17.6% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kris Thompson | 37.6% | 27.6% | 17.2% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Flanagan | 12.7% | 15.3% | 16.8% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 6.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Colin Bartels | 8.5% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 18.2% | 14.8% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 5.4% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 18.9% | 19.5% | 8.9% | 1.9% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 11.9% | 13.5% | 17.4% | 19.0% | 17.3% | 12.9% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Raulston | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 12.2% | 40.2% | 35.2% |
| Abby Schamp | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 26.4% | 57.5% |
| Charles Tokowitz | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 29.6% | 17.9% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.