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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.25+1.14vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.11+1.96vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.03+0.94vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University1.40-0.81vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University0.21+0.14vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.56-1.36vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-1.60-0.26vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-0.29-3.95vs Predicted
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11Oregon State University-2.08-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14University of Washington2.250.4%1st Place
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3.96University of Washington1.110.1%1st Place
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3.94Western Washington University1.030.1%1st Place
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3.19Oregon State University1.400.2%1st Place
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5.14Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
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4.64University of Washington0.560.1%1st Place
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7.74University of Oregon-1.600.0%1st Place
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6.05Northwestern University-0.290.0%1st Place
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8.19Oregon State University-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Thompson | 41.9% | 26.7% | 15.9% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Flanagan | 9.5% | 15.6% | 16.9% | 19.6% | 16.3% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 11.8% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 17.7% | 14.5% | 7.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Patrick (Drew) Ehlers | 19.5% | 20.7% | 18.9% | 17.3% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 4.8% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 20.8% | 18.2% | 8.7% | 2.2% |
| Colin Bartels | 7.7% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 18.4% | 20.4% | 14.1% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Raulston | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 12.5% | 40.3% | 33.8% |
| Charles Tokowitz | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 28.5% | 19.6% | 4.4% |
| Abby Schamp | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 7.4% | 24.6% | 58.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.