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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Washington0.95+0.85vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.58+0.57vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.42-0.24vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-0.69+0.85vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.16-1.26vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University-0.40-1.64vs Predicted
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8University of British Columbia-0.49-2.46vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-1.71-1.36vs Predicted
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10Oregon State University-0.58-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85University of Washington0.950.3%1st Place
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3.57Western Washington University0.580.2%1st Place
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3.76University of Washington0.420.2%1st Place
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5.85University of Oregon-0.690.1%1st Place
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4.74University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
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5.36Oregon State University-0.400.1%1st Place
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5.54University of British Columbia-0.490.1%1st Place
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7.64Northwestern University-1.710.0%1st Place
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5.7Oregon State University-0.580.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hughes | 28.3% | 22.3% | 18.7% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Kaas | 16.1% | 21.1% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Ezra Boyer | 17.6% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Will Campbell | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 17.3% | 13.9% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 9.3% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 4.5% |
| Alexander Muschler | 7.3% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 7.3% |
| Jonah Cadieux-Johnson | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 16.5% | 7.9% |
| Lincoln Oliver-O'Neil | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 15.5% | 54.3% |
| Jin Parisien | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 19.3% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.