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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Washington0.95+0.85vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.58+0.60vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.42-0.25vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.16-0.21vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia-0.49-0.60vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-1.71+0.64vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University-0.40-2.63vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University-0.58-3.32vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-0.69-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85University of Washington0.950.3%1st Place
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3.6Western Washington University0.580.2%1st Place
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3.75University of Washington0.420.2%1st Place
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4.79University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
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5.4University of British Columbia-0.490.1%1st Place
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7.64Northwestern University-1.710.0%1st Place
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5.37Oregon State University-0.400.1%1st Place
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5.68Oregon State University-0.580.1%1st Place
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5.93University of Oregon-0.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hughes | 27.6% | 22.4% | 17.9% | 14.9% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Kaas | 15.6% | 20.3% | 18.2% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Ezra Boyer | 17.8% | 15.2% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 9.2% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 3.9% |
| Jonah Cadieux-Johnson | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 10.0% |
| Lincoln Oliver-O'Neil | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 16.3% | 54.1% |
| Alexander Muschler | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 6.1% |
| Jin Parisien | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 17.3% | 10.9% |
| Will Campbell | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 19.0% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.