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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.95+1.85vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.58+1.59vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-0.69+3.02vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University-0.40+0.28vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.16-1.26vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.42-3.34vs Predicted
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8University of British Columbia-0.49-2.45vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University-0.58-3.30vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-1.71-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85University of Washington0.950.3%1st Place
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3.59Western Washington University0.580.2%1st Place
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6.02University of Oregon-0.690.0%1st Place
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5.28Oregon State University-0.400.1%1st Place
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4.74University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
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3.66University of Washington0.420.2%1st Place
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5.55University of British Columbia-0.490.1%1st Place
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5.7Oregon State University-0.580.1%1st Place
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7.61Northwestern University-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hughes | 28.4% | 21.9% | 17.6% | 13.8% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Kaas | 16.4% | 21.4% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Will Campbell | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 17.8% | 20.1% | 13.1% |
| Alexander Muschler | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 6.5% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 9.8% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 5.7% |
| Ezra Boyer | 17.1% | 15.9% | 18.4% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Jonah Cadieux-Johnson | 7.2% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 15.5% | 9.1% |
| Jin Parisien | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 16.9% | 11.6% |
| Lincoln Oliver-O'Neil | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 17.4% | 52.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.