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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.58+2.44vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.95+1.00vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.16+1.94vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.42-0.36vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia-0.49-0.61vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-0.69-1.09vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University-0.58-2.26vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University-0.40-3.67vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-1.71-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44Western Washington University0.580.2%1st Place
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3.0University of Washington0.950.2%1st Place
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4.94University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
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3.64University of Washington0.420.2%1st Place
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5.39University of British Columbia-0.490.1%1st Place
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5.91University of Oregon-0.690.1%1st Place
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5.74Oregon State University-0.580.1%1st Place
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5.33Oregon State University-0.400.1%1st Place
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7.62Northwestern University-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Kaas | 20.5% | 18.2% | 16.5% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Connor Hughes | 23.4% | 26.0% | 16.3% | 14.2% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 4.5% |
| Ezra Boyer | 17.8% | 16.4% | 17.7% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Jonah Cadieux-Johnson | 6.5% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 9.7% |
| Will Campbell | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 18.0% | 19.1% | 11.9% |
| Jin Parisien | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 16.9% | 15.1% | 17.3% | 10.9% |
| Alexander Muschler | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 8.4% |
| Lincoln Oliver-O'Neil | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 17.0% | 53.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.