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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.42+1.80vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.58+0.62vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University-0.58+0.93vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.16-0.55vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.95-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8University of Washington0.420.2%1st Place
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2.62Western Washington University0.580.2%1st Place
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3.93Oregon State University-0.580.1%1st Place
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3.45University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
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2.21University of Washington0.950.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ezra Boyer | 21.0% | 23.3% | 23.5% | 19.1% | 13.1% |
| Benjamin Kaas | 24.2% | 25.6% | 23.2% | 18.3% | 8.7% |
| Jin Parisien | 7.6% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 21.9% | 47.7% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 11.3% | 13.2% | 21.8% | 26.9% | 26.8% |
| Connor Hughes | 35.9% | 28.6% | 18.0% | 13.8% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.