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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.75+6.14vs Predicted
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2Harvard University-0.20+9.01vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+0.68vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.01+2.67vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.84+2.05vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.25+4.41vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.80+0.51vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.01-1.39vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College0.53-1.01vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College0.52-1.66vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University-0.80+2.04vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.55-4.19vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.82+0.28vs Predicted
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14McGill University-1.05-0.10vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-1.11-1.31vs Predicted
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16Amherst College-1.69-0.46vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.50-8.46vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island0.34-9.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.14Brown University0.757.8%1st Place
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11.01Harvard University-0.203.0%1st Place
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3.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8023.4%1st Place
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6.67Boston University1.019.4%1st Place
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7.05University of Vermont0.847.3%1st Place
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10.41Boston University0.252.8%1st Place
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7.51Tufts University0.806.3%1st Place
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6.61Brown University1.017.8%1st Place
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7.99Bowdoin College0.535.4%1st Place
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8.34Bowdoin College0.524.7%1st Place
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13.04Northeastern University-0.801.5%1st Place
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7.81Tufts University0.556.9%1st Place
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13.28University of New Hampshire-0.821.1%1st Place
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13.9McGill University-1.051.2%1st Place
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13.69University of New Hampshire-1.111.1%1st Place
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15.54Amherst College-1.690.5%1st Place
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8.54Northeastern University0.505.2%1st Place
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8.8University of Rhode Island0.344.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emery Diemar | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Andy Yu | 23.4% | 18.9% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Smith | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Richard Kalich | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Blake Vogel | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Sidney Moyer | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Cole Amaral | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kique Ruiz | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Adrien Blanc | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 10.1% |
| Kiana Beachy | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jake Lacoche | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 10.7% |
| Cecilia Muller | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 15.3% |
| Brendan OBrien | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 17.8% | 15.8% |
| Adrian Whitney | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 16.7% | 41.8% |
| Carter Anderson | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Pierson Falk | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.