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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.60+2.12vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy1.95+2.17vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.70+0.03vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.74-0.97vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.92-0.77vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.31-2.40vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-2.03+0.49vs Predicted
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8Boston University-1.80-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12Brown University2.600.2%1st Place
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4.17Maine Maritime Academy1.950.1%1st Place
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3.03Harvard University2.700.2%1st Place
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3.03Bowdoin College2.740.2%1st Place
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4.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.920.1%1st Place
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3.6Tufts University2.310.2%1st Place
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7.49Bentley University-2.030.0%1st Place
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7.33Boston University-1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helen Lord | 21.0% | 20.8% | 17.6% | 17.1% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| James Gorman | 9.9% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 21.9% | 25.7% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke O'Connor | 22.5% | 19.0% | 21.1% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 7.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tom Peabody | 21.3% | 23.6% | 16.6% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 8.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Javier Ramos | 9.2% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 19.0% | 29.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Barclift | 15.6% | 15.0% | 16.5% | 18.0% | 17.5% | 16.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassey Morello | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 38.6% | 58.1% |
| Christian Bragdon | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 54.1% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.