Race 1A

south-seres

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Preston Duclos 20.2% 23.3% 25.8% 17.0% 9.1% 3.7% 0.9% 0.0%
August Sturm 26.4% 27.3% 23.5% 14.4% 6.1% 2.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Phillip Rosenthall 2.9% 4.1% 5.8% 9.0% 15.5% 23.5% 23.3% 15.9%
Garrett Connelly 5.2% 7.2% 10.2% 18.9% 23.9% 20.2% 11.6% 2.8%
Alexander Tong 37.0% 27.7% 19.3% 11.0% 4.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Meredith Morran 5.5% 6.7% 10.7% 19.9% 23.5% 19.3% 10.1% 4.3%
Brian Reilly 2.0% 1.7% 2.6% 5.8% 10.8% 16.6% 27.3% 33.2%
Abe Kipnis 0.8% 2.0% 2.1% 4.0% 7.1% 13.7% 26.5% 43.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.