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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.68+1.84vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College0.63+3.76vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.26-0.85vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-1.45vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.39-0.32vs Predicted
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6Sacred Heart University0.12+0.41vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.36-2.23vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-0.24-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84Roger Williams University2.680.2%1st Place
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5.76Connecticut College0.630.0%1st Place
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2.15Tufts University3.260.4%1st Place
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2.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.3%1st Place
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4.68University of Rhode Island1.390.1%1st Place
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6.41Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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4.77Brown University1.360.1%1st Place
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6.83Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Duclos | 20.9% | 23.5% | 24.8% | 17.3% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Phillip Rosenthall | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 16.8% | 23.6% | 23.4% | 15.6% |
| Alexander Tong | 37.6% | 28.1% | 21.1% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| August Sturm | 26.8% | 26.7% | 22.3% | 16.1% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Connelly | 5.2% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 19.1% | 23.3% | 20.8% | 11.1% | 2.6% |
| Brian Reilly | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 11.7% | 17.2% | 26.9% | 31.5% |
| Meredith Morran | 5.1% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 18.9% | 22.7% | 18.7% | 12.7% | 4.5% |
| Abe Kipnis | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 13.6% | 24.7% | 45.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.