Race 3A

south-seres

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
August Sturm 26.9% 27.7% 24.3% 13.5% 5.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Meredith Morran 5.8% 6.6% 9.0% 18.8% 23.7% 20.6% 11.3% 4.2%
Alexander Tong 36.9% 28.8% 20.1% 9.9% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Preston Duclos 20.1% 23.3% 24.7% 19.0% 9.4% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Phillip Rosenthall 2.5% 3.5% 4.9% 9.0% 15.7% 25.0% 24.3% 15.1%
Brian Reilly 1.4% 2.1% 3.4% 5.5% 12.3% 16.8% 26.6% 31.9%
Garrett Connelly 5.9% 6.1% 11.0% 20.2% 22.3% 20.1% 9.9% 4.5%
Abe Kipnis 0.5% 1.9% 2.6% 4.1% 7.6% 12.5% 26.6% 44.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.