Race 4A

south-seres

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Preston Duclos 21.3% 22.6% 24.7% 17.6% 9.9% 3.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Alexander Tong 35.6% 30.6% 18.9% 9.9% 4.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
August Sturm 28.3% 26.4% 24.1% 13.7% 5.2% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Phillip Rosenthall 1.9% 3.5% 5.1% 10.4% 15.8% 23.7% 23.7% 15.9%
Garrett Connelly 5.5% 5.9% 11.1% 19.7% 23.9% 18.8% 12.0% 3.1%
Brian Reilly 1.5% 2.3% 3.3% 5.5% 12.6% 17.3% 25.8% 31.7%
Meredith Morran 5.2% 7.1% 10.1% 19.2% 22.0% 19.7% 11.9% 4.8%
Abe Kipnis 0.7% 1.6% 2.7% 4.0% 6.4% 14.4% 25.7% 44.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.