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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+1.49vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.26+0.17vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.68-0.11vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College0.63+1.77vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.39-0.31vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.36-1.29vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University0.12-0.53vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-0.24-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.3%1st Place
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2.17Tufts University3.260.4%1st Place
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2.89Roger Williams University2.680.2%1st Place
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5.77Connecticut College0.630.0%1st Place
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4.69University of Rhode Island1.390.1%1st Place
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4.71Brown University1.360.1%1st Place
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6.47Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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6.8Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August Sturm | 29.1% | 25.8% | 22.5% | 14.0% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Tong | 35.7% | 31.2% | 18.9% | 9.3% | 4.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 20.1% | 21.5% | 26.3% | 19.5% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Rosenthall | 1.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 9.3% | 17.8% | 22.1% | 24.0% | 15.7% |
| Garrett Connelly | 5.3% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 19.6% | 24.4% | 19.8% | 10.6% | 3.1% |
| Meredith Morran | 5.3% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 18.3% | 23.9% | 20.3% | 9.8% | 4.5% |
| Brian Reilly | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 16.8% | 29.5% | 32.5% |
| Abe Kipnis | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 15.0% | 24.8% | 44.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.