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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+1.39vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.26+0.10vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.68-0.24vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College0.63+1.55vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.36-0.49vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.42-0.21vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University0.12-0.73vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-0.24-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.3%1st Place
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2.1Tufts University3.260.4%1st Place
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2.76Roger Williams University2.680.2%1st Place
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5.55Connecticut College0.630.0%1st Place
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4.51Brown University1.360.1%1st Place
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5.79University of Rhode Island0.420.0%1st Place
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6.27Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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6.62Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August Sturm | 29.8% | 27.2% | 24.0% | 12.8% | 5.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Tong | 37.0% | 31.5% | 19.2% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 20.9% | 22.2% | 30.2% | 16.8% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Rosenthall | 1.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 12.2% | 21.4% | 20.5% | 21.1% | 12.7% |
| Meredith Morran | 5.4% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 26.0% | 23.1% | 16.8% | 8.4% | 2.4% |
| William Connelly | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 10.9% | 18.6% | 23.7% | 19.7% | 17.7% |
| Brian Reilly | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 19.5% | 25.8% | 28.3% |
| Abe Kipnis | 0.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 10.9% | 16.0% | 24.2% | 38.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.