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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+1.42vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.68+0.77vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.63+2.52vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.36+0.49vs Predicted
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5Sacred Heart University0.12+1.23vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.26-3.91vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.42-1.15vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-0.24-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.3%1st Place
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2.77Roger Williams University2.680.2%1st Place
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5.52Connecticut College0.630.0%1st Place
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4.49Brown University1.360.1%1st Place
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6.23Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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2.09Tufts University3.260.4%1st Place
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5.85University of Rhode Island0.420.0%1st Place
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6.63Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August Sturm | 29.2% | 27.6% | 24.2% | 12.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 20.4% | 23.4% | 28.6% | 16.6% | 8.3% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Rosenthall | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 13.0% | 20.6% | 19.4% | 20.4% | 13.8% |
| Meredith Morran | 5.1% | 7.3% | 11.9% | 24.7% | 24.7% | 16.0% | 7.5% | 2.8% |
| Brian Reilly | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 8.2% | 13.3% | 20.3% | 25.4% | 26.0% |
| Alexander Tong | 37.5% | 31.5% | 19.4% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Connelly | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 23.1% | 21.5% | 18.5% |
| Abe Kipnis | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 9.8% | 16.9% | 24.2% | 38.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.