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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
August Sturm 29.2% 27.6% 24.2% 12.9% 4.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Preston Duclos 20.4% 23.4% 28.6% 16.6% 8.3% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Phillip Rosenthall 3.4% 4.0% 5.4% 13.0% 20.6% 19.4% 20.4% 13.8%
Meredith Morran 5.1% 7.3% 11.9% 24.7% 24.7% 16.0% 7.5% 2.8%
Brian Reilly 1.3% 2.0% 3.5% 8.2% 13.3% 20.3% 25.4% 26.0%
Alexander Tong 37.5% 31.5% 19.4% 8.4% 2.7% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
William Connelly 2.2% 2.6% 4.3% 11.2% 16.6% 23.1% 21.5% 18.5%
Abe Kipnis 0.9% 1.6% 2.7% 5.0% 9.8% 16.9% 24.2% 38.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.