Race 8A

south-seres

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
August Sturm 30.2% 27.1% 24.3% 12.9% 4.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Phillip Rosenthall 3.1% 4.1% 5.0% 11.5% 22.0% 22.3% 19.4% 12.6%
Preston Duclos 20.9% 23.4% 27.5% 18.3% 6.9% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Alexander Tong 35.7% 31.0% 21.0% 8.1% 3.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
William Connelly 1.9% 3.3% 4.1% 10.5% 16.4% 22.9% 23.4% 17.5%
Meredith Morran 5.3% 6.9% 12.4% 25.5% 23.8% 16.2% 6.9% 3.0%
Brian Reilly 2.0% 2.3% 3.3% 7.7% 12.4% 18.2% 26.4% 27.7%
Abe Kipnis 0.9% 1.9% 2.4% 5.5% 10.5% 16.3% 23.3% 39.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.