Race 9A

south-seres

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
August Sturm 28.1% 29.2% 25.1% 12.0% 4.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Preston Duclos 20.5% 23.0% 26.6% 20.4% 6.6% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Meredith Morran 5.5% 8.7% 10.9% 23.6% 24.2% 16.9% 7.5% 2.7%
Phillip Rosenthall 2.9% 3.8% 6.2% 11.7% 19.4% 21.4% 22.1% 12.5%
Alexander Tong 38.2% 27.8% 21.8% 9.2% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
William Connelly 2.2% 3.5% 3.6% 10.3% 20.0% 23.4% 19.8% 17.2%
Brian Reilly 2.0% 1.8% 3.1% 8.0% 13.1% 18.1% 25.2% 28.7%
Abe Kipnis 0.6% 2.2% 2.7% 4.8% 9.9% 16.2% 24.7% 38.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.