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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.60+2.13vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.31+1.64vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.74-0.01vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy1.95+0.18vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.92-0.77vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.70-2.98vs Predicted
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7Boston University-1.80+0.36vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-2.03-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13Brown University2.600.2%1st Place
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3.64Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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2.99Bowdoin College2.740.2%1st Place
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4.18Maine Maritime Academy1.950.1%1st Place
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4.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.920.1%1st Place
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3.02Harvard University2.700.2%1st Place
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7.36Boston University-1.800.0%1st Place
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7.46Bentley University-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helen Lord | 20.4% | 20.7% | 19.5% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Barclift | 14.5% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 16.0% | 19.8% | 15.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Tom Peabody | 22.6% | 20.6% | 20.0% | 16.5% | 12.8% | 7.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Gorman | 10.0% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 16.8% | 19.4% | 28.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Javier Ramos | 9.0% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 16.7% | 20.6% | 27.9% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Luke O'Connor | 22.9% | 20.9% | 17.6% | 17.5% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christian Bragdon | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 48.7% | 47.1% |
| Cassey Morello | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 43.8% | 52.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.