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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.01+5.50vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+1.76vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.75+4.20vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.01+2.78vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University-0.80+8.13vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.84+1.00vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.25+3.48vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.34+0.77vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.80-1.60vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College0.52-1.90vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-1.11+2.75vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.55-4.28vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College0.53-4.94vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-0.82-0.62vs Predicted
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15Harvard University-0.20-3.88vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.50-7.32vs Predicted
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17Amherst College-1.69-1.46vs Predicted
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18McGill University-1.05-4.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.5Brown University1.018.3%1st Place
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3.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8021.3%1st Place
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7.2Brown University0.757.2%1st Place
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6.78Boston University1.017.9%1st Place
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13.13Northeastern University-0.801.5%1st Place
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7.0University of Vermont0.847.1%1st Place
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10.48Boston University0.253.0%1st Place
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8.77University of Rhode Island0.344.0%1st Place
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7.4Tufts University0.808.5%1st Place
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8.1Bowdoin College0.526.3%1st Place
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13.75University of New Hampshire-1.111.2%1st Place
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7.72Tufts University0.557.0%1st Place
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8.06Bowdoin College0.536.0%1st Place
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13.38University of New Hampshire-0.821.2%1st Place
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11.12Harvard University-0.202.5%1st Place
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8.68Northeastern University0.504.8%1st Place
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15.54Amherst College-1.690.5%1st Place
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13.64McGill University-1.051.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sidney Moyer | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andy Yu | 21.3% | 18.6% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emery Diemar | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Blanc | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 10.2% |
| Cooper Smith | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Richard Kalich | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Pierson Falk | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Blake Vogel | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kique Ruiz | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Brendan OBrien | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 16.8% | 16.8% |
| Kiana Beachy | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Cole Amaral | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Jake Lacoche | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 16.0% | 11.3% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Carter Anderson | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Adrian Whitney | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 18.4% | 40.2% |
| Cecilia Muller | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.