Race 3A

thompson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Avery Fanning 11.1% 10.9% 8.6% 8.6% 8.0% 6.5% 8.5% 8.1% 6.6% 4.7% 6.1% 4.3% 3.7% 2.5% 0.7% 1.1% 0.0%
Martim Anderson 7.3% 7.4% 7.0% 6.7% 6.6% 6.3% 6.7% 6.6% 8.9% 5.9% 6.5% 5.9% 6.5% 4.6% 3.6% 2.8% 0.7%
Joseph Kiss 6.9% 6.8% 7.6% 7.6% 6.7% 7.5% 6.0% 7.2% 4.5% 6.4% 7.2% 5.9% 6.1% 5.9% 4.1% 2.5% 1.1%
Greiner Hobbs 10.6% 10.0% 7.7% 9.1% 7.4% 8.2% 8.1% 7.4% 6.2% 6.1% 5.2% 4.5% 3.6% 3.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
Andrew Sheerin 1.7% 2.6% 4.7% 3.1% 4.1% 2.5% 2.9% 4.7% 4.5% 4.8% 5.6% 7.4% 6.5% 8.5% 10.9% 13.7% 11.8%
Chase Quinn 6.1% 5.7% 4.4% 6.3% 7.3% 6.6% 6.2% 5.5% 6.9% 7.4% 6.7% 7.1% 5.8% 7.0% 6.2% 3.6% 1.2%
Ryan Astwood 6.7% 6.3% 6.2% 6.2% 6.0% 7.9% 8.2% 7.7% 7.3% 7.1% 5.9% 7.3% 5.4% 5.0% 3.8% 2.3% 0.7%
Rachel Bryer 8.6% 8.5% 8.4% 7.7% 7.6% 6.2% 7.3% 6.4% 5.8% 6.3% 6.1% 5.5% 5.1% 4.1% 3.8% 2.0% 0.6%
Augie Dale 6.0% 6.4% 5.8% 6.8% 5.6% 6.9% 6.7% 8.2% 7.2% 5.7% 6.4% 5.7% 6.3% 7.2% 5.0% 3.0% 1.1%
Andrew Mollerus 6.8% 7.9% 8.5% 7.6% 8.1% 7.4% 6.6% 5.7% 7.3% 6.5% 5.2% 6.0% 6.3% 4.6% 2.8% 2.2% 0.5%
Timothy Siemers 2.9% 2.1% 4.0% 2.0% 2.7% 2.9% 3.8% 3.4% 4.9% 4.4% 4.1% 6.4% 7.0% 9.4% 10.6% 16.1% 13.3%
John Nothacker 0.8% 1.2% 1.4% 1.0% 1.2% 2.0% 1.7% 1.2% 1.8% 2.8% 3.4% 4.4% 5.3% 5.1% 8.6% 15.2% 42.9%
Will La Dow 7.2% 6.5% 6.4% 4.8% 7.9% 8.6% 7.7% 7.1% 6.6% 6.5% 6.2% 5.7% 4.9% 4.3% 5.4% 2.7% 1.5%
Ty Ingram 7.0% 7.2% 6.3% 8.8% 7.4% 6.7% 5.8% 6.3% 6.9% 6.4% 6.2% 6.5% 6.4% 5.1% 4.0% 2.4% 0.6%
John Rolander 5.4% 6.1% 6.4% 5.4% 6.5% 5.9% 5.3% 5.0% 5.7% 7.0% 7.2% 7.1% 8.1% 6.3% 6.2% 4.5% 1.9%
Jack McGuire 3.3% 2.7% 4.5% 5.3% 4.4% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 5.3% 7.4% 7.6% 6.0% 6.9% 8.7% 10.2% 7.5% 3.7%
Charlotte List 1.6% 1.7% 2.1% 3.0% 2.5% 2.9% 3.0% 3.5% 3.6% 4.6% 4.4% 4.3% 6.1% 8.5% 12.3% 17.7% 18.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.