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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.79+6.42vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.72+5.79vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.71+4.91vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.67+4.17vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84+2.18vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.72+5.93vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+0.68vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.49+0.60vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-2.35vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.70+1.76vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-4.31vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.49+0.48vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.74-5.07vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-5.50vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College1.89-0.82vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.70-8.01vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College3.18-6.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.42Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.79Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.91Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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8.17Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.18University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.93George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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7.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.6Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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11.76Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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6.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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12.48Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.93Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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14.18SUNY Maritime College1.890.0%1st Place
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7.99Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.13Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Martim Anderson | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Augie Dale | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 13.9% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| John Rolander | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Timothy Siemers | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 11.5% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte List | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 18.6% | 17.8% |
| Will La Dow | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Chase Quinn | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| John Nothacker | 0.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 17.0% | 41.1% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.