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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.71+6.19vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+4.79vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.70+8.01vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+3.94vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+2.13vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.67+1.59vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.79+0.15vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.18+1.18vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.49-0.92vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.70-2.56vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.74-3.75vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.49-0.38vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-7.06vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.72-6.87vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.72-3.91vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College1.89-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.19Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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6.79University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.01Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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7.94St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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7.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.59Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.15Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.18Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.08Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.44Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.25Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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11.62Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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5.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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7.13Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.09George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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13.46SUNY Maritime College1.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martim Anderson | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Timothy Siemers | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 11.7% |
| Chase Quinn | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Augie Dale | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.5% |
| John Rolander | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Will La Dow | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Charlotte List | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 16.1% | 19.4% |
| Avery Fanning | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Kiss | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 18.1% | 11.1% |
| John Nothacker | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 16.3% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.