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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.79+5.90vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.49+6.09vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+4.12vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.70+3.53vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+1.08vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.84+0.98vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.18+2.36vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.74-0.86vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-1.31vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.67-2.46vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.49+0.59vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.70-1.05vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.72-5.72vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College1.89-0.72vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.71-7.56vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.72-4.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.9Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.09Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.53Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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6.98University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.36Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.14Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.69St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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7.54Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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11.59Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.95Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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7.28Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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13.28SUNY Maritime College1.890.0%1st Place
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7.44Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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11.03George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| John Rolander | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 4.3% |
| Will La Dow | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Chase Quinn | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Augie Dale | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Charlotte List | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 16.4% | 18.7% |
| Timothy Siemers | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 14.2% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| John Nothacker | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 17.8% | 39.5% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.