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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.72+6.18vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.67+5.39vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.79+4.02vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.70+7.15vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+2.11vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.49+2.26vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+0.85vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.18+1.16vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.72+1.88vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-3.92vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.71-3.66vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.70-4.58vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.74-5.84vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.84-7.26vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.49-3.20vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College1.89-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.18Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.39Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.02Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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11.15Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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7.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.26Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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9.16Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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10.88George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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6.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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7.34Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.42Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.16Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.74University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.8Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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13.47SUNY Maritime College1.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kiss | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Augie Dale | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 13.1% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| John Rolander | 5.6% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% |
| Chase Quinn | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 3.7% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 11.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Will La Dow | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Charlotte List | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 18.8% | 17.9% |
| John Nothacker | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 16.9% | 43.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.