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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.01+5.72vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.52+6.05vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.01+3.57vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.80+3.40vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.50+3.40vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.75+1.13vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.84+0.14vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.25+2.71vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-5.33vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.55-2.12vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.53-2.96vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.82+1.40vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-1.11+0.76vs Predicted
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14Amherst College-1.69+1.45vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.34-6.17vs Predicted
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16McGill University-1.05-2.25vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University-0.80-3.86vs Predicted
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18Harvard University-0.20-7.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.72Brown University1.018.2%1st Place
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8.05Bowdoin College0.526.8%1st Place
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6.57Boston University1.018.5%1st Place
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7.4Tufts University0.806.9%1st Place
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8.4Northeastern University0.504.5%1st Place
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7.13Brown University0.757.6%1st Place
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7.14University of Vermont0.846.7%1st Place
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10.71Boston University0.252.9%1st Place
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3.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8022.4%1st Place
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7.88Tufts University0.556.2%1st Place
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8.04Bowdoin College0.536.6%1st Place
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13.4University of New Hampshire-0.821.0%1st Place
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13.76University of New Hampshire-1.111.4%1st Place
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15.45Amherst College-1.690.5%1st Place
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8.83University of Rhode Island0.344.2%1st Place
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13.75McGill University-1.051.7%1st Place
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13.14Northeastern University-0.801.7%1st Place
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10.94Harvard University-0.202.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sidney Moyer | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kique Ruiz | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Selian | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Blake Vogel | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Carter Anderson | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Emery Diemar | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Smith | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Richard Kalich | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
| Andy Yu | 22.4% | 18.5% | 16.4% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kiana Beachy | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Cole Amaral | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jake Lacoche | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 12.9% |
| Brendan OBrien | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 17.4% |
| Adrian Whitney | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 18.4% | 38.9% |
| Pierson Falk | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Cecilia Muller | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 16.9% | 15.0% |
| Adrien Blanc | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 10.1% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.