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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.60+2.12vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.92+2.23vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.31+0.64vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.74-0.98vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy1.95-0.84vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.70-2.98vs Predicted
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7Boston University-1.80+0.36vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-2.03-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12Brown University2.600.2%1st Place
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4.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.920.1%1st Place
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3.64Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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3.02Bowdoin College2.740.2%1st Place
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4.16Maine Maritime Academy1.950.1%1st Place
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3.02Harvard University2.700.2%1st Place
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7.36Boston University-1.800.0%1st Place
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7.46Bentley University-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helen Lord | 22.3% | 18.2% | 18.8% | 17.4% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Javier Ramos | 9.3% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 21.8% | 27.1% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Barclift | 14.5% | 14.9% | 17.7% | 17.0% | 18.7% | 15.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Tom Peabody | 21.0% | 24.4% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gorman | 9.8% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 17.0% | 17.9% | 28.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Luke O'Connor | 22.5% | 19.9% | 20.9% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 7.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christian Bragdon | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 48.8% | 47.1% |
| Cassey Morello | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 43.8% | 52.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.