Race 16A

thompson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Martim Anderson 7.4% 9.0% 7.9% 8.2% 7.0% 7.3% 7.8% 7.3% 6.1% 6.5% 6.4% 6.1% 4.8% 4.6% 2.6% 1.0%
Rachel Bryer 9.2% 9.5% 8.5% 8.2% 7.9% 8.6% 5.1% 8.4% 6.4% 5.9% 6.6% 5.7% 4.0% 3.2% 1.2% 1.6%
Ryan Astwood 8.2% 6.5% 7.4% 7.7% 8.4% 6.7% 7.1% 6.8% 8.6% 7.7% 6.3% 6.1% 4.7% 3.7% 2.9% 1.2%
Chase Quinn 6.2% 6.2% 7.0% 7.3% 6.5% 7.0% 5.8% 7.0% 7.2% 8.8% 5.8% 7.2% 6.7% 5.8% 3.9% 1.6%
John Rolander 6.1% 5.8% 6.0% 7.3% 6.1% 6.7% 7.6% 6.2% 5.9% 8.5% 6.5% 7.6% 7.2% 5.2% 5.0% 2.3%
Avery Fanning 10.0% 11.2% 11.0% 9.8% 7.8% 8.2% 7.7% 7.0% 5.7% 5.9% 5.1% 4.0% 2.8% 2.3% 1.3% 0.2%
Ty Ingram 8.9% 7.1% 8.9% 7.0% 7.8% 7.6% 6.6% 7.2% 5.9% 6.0% 7.2% 6.0% 6.1% 5.0% 2.1% 0.6%
Andrew Sheerin 2.7% 2.7% 4.1% 2.8% 3.3% 4.8% 4.5% 3.7% 5.8% 5.6% 6.5% 6.8% 8.5% 11.6% 15.7% 10.9%
Will La Dow 7.8% 7.4% 8.4% 8.4% 7.4% 7.2% 9.0% 6.5% 6.4% 6.8% 6.1% 5.4% 4.5% 4.0% 3.2% 1.5%
Andrew Mollerus 8.8% 6.9% 6.7% 7.4% 8.9% 8.0% 8.5% 7.8% 8.0% 7.2% 5.8% 5.2% 5.1% 3.3% 1.9% 0.5%
Joseph Kiss 7.9% 8.1% 7.0% 7.1% 8.7% 6.4% 6.9% 7.7% 7.1% 6.2% 7.3% 6.8% 5.2% 4.0% 2.5% 1.1%
Timothy Siemers 2.7% 3.9% 1.9% 2.7% 3.2% 3.3% 5.8% 4.5% 5.5% 6.0% 5.9% 6.1% 10.3% 10.9% 13.4% 13.9%
Augie Dale 6.9% 7.5% 7.6% 7.0% 7.3% 7.0% 7.8% 7.7% 8.6% 6.7% 6.1% 5.1% 5.2% 5.2% 2.8% 1.5%
John Nothacker 1.4% 1.1% 1.6% 1.7% 0.9% 1.7% 1.7% 1.9% 3.5% 3.4% 4.1% 4.6% 6.7% 9.2% 16.4% 40.1%
Jack McGuire 4.4% 4.3% 4.2% 4.8% 5.1% 6.6% 4.6% 7.3% 5.2% 4.7% 8.3% 9.7% 9.4% 9.4% 8.0% 4.0%
Charlotte List 1.4% 2.8% 1.8% 2.6% 3.7% 2.9% 3.5% 3.0% 4.1% 4.1% 6.0% 7.6% 8.8% 12.6% 17.1% 18.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.