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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.24+3.56vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.47+5.30vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.76vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.43+3.61vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.92+4.43vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.98+3.54vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-0.19vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.50+3.01vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.24-0.54vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76+0.15vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.82-0.81vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.50-4.74vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.93-3.26vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-2.17vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.78-4.85vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College2.14-3.38vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.95-7.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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7.3Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.61Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.43Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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9.54Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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6.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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11.01Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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8.46Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
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10.19Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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7.26Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.74Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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11.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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10.15George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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12.62SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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9.54University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 19.0% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Marek Zaleski | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| William Hawk | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 4.6% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 13.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Kyle Burgess | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 6.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% |
| Connor Swikart | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 16.2% |
| Sam White | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% |
| John Lawless | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 14.8% | 23.2% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.