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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.98+8.15vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.43+5.43vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76+7.18vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+2.84vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.24-0.39vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.92+3.81vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-0.21vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.93+1.42vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.78+1.39vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.50+1.14vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.24-2.52vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College2.14+0.49vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.82-2.88vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.50-6.55vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.47-7.60vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-4.28vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.95-7.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.15Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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7.43Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
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6.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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4.61Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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9.81Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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6.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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9.42Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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10.39George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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11.14Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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8.48Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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12.49SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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10.12Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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7.45Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.4Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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11.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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9.57University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Draheim | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Kyle Burgess | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.8% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Baird | 17.6% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Hawk | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% |
| Sam White | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 12.2% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| John Lawless | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 25.9% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Scott Barbano | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Connor Swikart | 2.5% | 1.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 15.2% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.