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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.43+6.38vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.93+7.50vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.95+6.49vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+2.79vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.24+3.12vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76+4.43vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.92+2.60vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.24-3.31vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-1.99vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.98-0.72vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.14+1.62vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.82-2.07vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.47-5.50vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.50-6.57vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.50-3.76vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-4.24vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.78-6.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.38Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.5Stanford University2.930.1%1st Place
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9.49University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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6.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.12Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.43St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
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9.6Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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4.69Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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7.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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9.28Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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12.62SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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9.93Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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7.5Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.43Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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11.24Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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11.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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10.22George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marek Zaleski | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Kyle Burgess | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% |
| William Hawk | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 18.7% | 16.0% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| John Lawless | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 27.0% |
| Andrew Schoene | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 5.9% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 12.8% |
| Connor Swikart | 2.4% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 15.7% |
| Sam White | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.