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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.43+6.37vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76+8.13vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.24+1.68vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.92+5.64vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.47+2.26vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.78+4.32vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.98+2.37vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.24+0.16vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-1.99vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+1.58vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.82-0.81vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-5.23vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.93-3.31vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.50-6.59vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.95-5.54vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College2.14-3.35vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.50-5.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
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4.68Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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9.64Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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7.26Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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10.32George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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9.37Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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8.16Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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11.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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10.19Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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6.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.69Stanford University2.930.1%1st Place
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7.41Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.46University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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12.65SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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11.33Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marek Zaleski | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Kyle Burgess | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 5.8% |
| Nicholas Baird | 16.3% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| William Hawk | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.8% |
| Scott Barbano | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Sam White | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Connor Swikart | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 14.9% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% |
| John Lawless | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 15.1% | 23.2% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.