← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.60+2.11vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.31+1.67vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.70+0.07vs Predicted
-
4Maine Maritime Academy1.95+0.19vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College2.74-2.01vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.92-1.82vs Predicted
-
7Bentley University-2.03+0.48vs Predicted
-
8Boston University-1.80-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.11Brown University2.600.2%1st Place
-
3.67Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
-
3.07Harvard University2.700.2%1st Place
-
4.19Maine Maritime Academy1.950.1%1st Place
-
2.99Bowdoin College2.740.2%1st Place
-
4.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.920.1%1st Place
-
7.48Bentley University-2.030.0%1st Place
-
7.31Boston University-1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helen Lord | 20.6% | 20.6% | 20.6% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Barclift | 14.9% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 20.8% | 18.6% | 15.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Luke O'Connor | 21.8% | 19.6% | 19.6% | 16.6% | 14.3% | 7.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| James Gorman | 10.2% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 19.9% | 28.5% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Tom Peabody | 21.8% | 24.0% | 18.0% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 7.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Javier Ramos | 10.2% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 28.1% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Cassey Morello | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 38.3% | 58.0% |
| Christian Bragdon | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 53.6% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.