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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.84+5.98vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+1.69vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.01+3.58vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.01+2.62vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.55+2.79vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College0.52+2.13vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.80+0.39vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College0.530.00vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.50-0.47vs Predicted
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10Harvard University-0.20+1.00vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.25-0.47vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.82+1.10vs Predicted
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13Brown University0.75-5.75vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.34-4.92vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University-0.80-2.03vs Predicted
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16McGill University-1.05-2.08vs Predicted
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17Amherst College-1.69-1.39vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire-1.11-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.98University of Vermont0.847.0%1st Place
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3.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8022.7%1st Place
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6.58Boston University1.018.2%1st Place
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6.62Brown University1.018.8%1st Place
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7.79Tufts University0.557.1%1st Place
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8.13Bowdoin College0.526.0%1st Place
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7.39Tufts University0.806.8%1st Place
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8.0Bowdoin College0.535.8%1st Place
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8.53Northeastern University0.505.1%1st Place
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11.0Harvard University-0.202.1%1st Place
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10.53Boston University0.254.0%1st Place
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13.1University of New Hampshire-0.821.9%1st Place
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7.25Brown University0.756.6%1st Place
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9.08University of Rhode Island0.343.6%1st Place
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12.97Northeastern University-0.801.4%1st Place
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13.92McGill University-1.051.3%1st Place
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15.61Amherst College-1.690.4%1st Place
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13.83University of New Hampshire-1.111.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Smith | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andy Yu | 22.7% | 19.8% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sidney Moyer | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kiana Beachy | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kique Ruiz | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Vogel | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Cole Amaral | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Carter Anderson | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Richard Kalich | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Jake Lacoche | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 11.0% |
| Emery Diemar | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Pierson Falk | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Adrien Blanc | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 9.2% |
| Cecilia Muller | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 18.0% | 14.8% |
| Adrian Whitney | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 16.8% | 42.9% |
| Brendan OBrien | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 17.8% | 16.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.