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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.24+3.56vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.82+7.93vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.78+7.06vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76+6.26vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.50+6.06vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.95+3.68vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.24+1.28vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-1.38vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-2.00vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.93-0.52vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.43-3.24vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.47-4.60vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.14-0.38vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-2.18vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.98-5.65vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.92-6.31vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University3.50-9.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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9.93Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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10.06George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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10.26St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
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11.06Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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9.68University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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8.28Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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9.48Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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7.76Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.4Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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12.62SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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11.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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9.35Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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9.69Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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7.42Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 18.9% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.2% |
| Sam White | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% |
| Kyle Burgess | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 12.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Nikole Barnes | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 4.4% |
| Marek Zaleski | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| John Lawless | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 24.3% |
| Connor Swikart | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 17.0% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% |
| William Hawk | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.