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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.24+3.60vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.92+7.41vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.98+6.35vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.24+4.33vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.63vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.78+4.33vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.50+4.26vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.43-0.56vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.95+0.67vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.93-0.55vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.47-3.47vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.82-2.03vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-1.19vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-7.05vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76-4.76vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College2.14-3.37vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University3.50-9.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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9.41Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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9.35Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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8.33Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.33George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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11.26Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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7.44Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.67University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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9.45Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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7.53Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.97Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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11.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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6.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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10.24St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
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12.63SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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7.41Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 17.4% | 16.1% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Hawk | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Sam White | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 10.7% |
| Marek Zaleski | 8.6% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% |
| Scott Barbano | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 6.6% |
| Connor Swikart | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 17.5% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Burgess | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% |
| John Lawless | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 23.8% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.