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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.92+8.33vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.43+5.49vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.82+6.96vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.98+5.45vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.47+2.18vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.24+2.49vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.95+2.45vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.24-3.25vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.14+3.78vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.50+1.11vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.50-3.52vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.93-2.43vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-6.08vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-2.23vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-8.22vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76-5.68vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.78-6.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.33Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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7.49Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.96Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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9.45Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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7.18Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.49Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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9.45University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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4.75Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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12.78SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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11.11Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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7.48Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.57Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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6.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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11.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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6.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.32St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
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10.18George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hawk | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.5% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.7% |
| Nicholas Baird | 18.0% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Lawless | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 26.7% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.6% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Connor Swikart | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 16.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.9% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Kyle Burgess | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% |
| Sam White | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.