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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76+8.97vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.50+9.12vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.24+1.74vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+7.72vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.43+2.47vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.47+1.58vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.14+5.54vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.93+1.40vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.50-1.52vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-3.27vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-1.15vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.77-5.63vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.24-4.55vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.92-4.20vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.82-4.99vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.78-5.81vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.95-7.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.97St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.1%1st Place
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11.12Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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4.74Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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11.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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7.47Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.58Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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12.54SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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9.4Stanford University2.930.1%1st Place
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7.48Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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9.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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6.37Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.45Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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9.8Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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10.01Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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10.19George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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9.58University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Burgess | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 11.2% |
| Nicholas Baird | 17.4% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Swikart | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 16.9% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| John Lawless | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 15.0% | 22.4% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Alexander Stewart | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.4% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% |
| William Hawk | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% |
| Andrew Schoene | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.8% |
| Sam White | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.