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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+5.68vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.24+2.64vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.47+4.45vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.93+5.64vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+6.47vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.92+3.77vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.43+0.59vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.24+0.20vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.82+1.22vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.77-3.76vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-1.15vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76-1.77vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.14-0.35vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.50-6.54vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.95-5.59vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.78-5.80vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.50-5.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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4.64Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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7.45Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.64Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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11.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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9.77Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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7.59Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.2Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.22Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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6.24Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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9.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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10.23St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
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12.65SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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7.46Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.41University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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10.2George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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11.33Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Stewart | 9.3% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Baird | 17.0% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.1% |
| Connor Swikart | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 16.5% |
| William Hawk | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 4.9% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Andrew Schoene | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 10.6% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 5.7% |
| Kyle Burgess | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% |
| John Lawless | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 24.4% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% |
| Sam White | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.4% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.