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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.77+5.10vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+4.77vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.82+6.99vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.24+0.79vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.95+4.34vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.24+2.53vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.47+0.40vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+1.49vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.50+2.46vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76+0.12vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.92-1.21vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.93-2.42vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.78-2.70vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.50-6.56vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.14-2.51vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-4.25vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.43-9.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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6.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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9.99Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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4.79Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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9.34University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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8.53Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.4Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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11.46Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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10.12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
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9.79Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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9.58Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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10.3George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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7.44Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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12.49SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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11.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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7.67Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Bryan | 12.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Stewart | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Schoene | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% |
| Nicholas Baird | 16.4% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 5.6% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 13.1% |
| Kyle Burgess | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% |
| William Hawk | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.0% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% |
| Sam White | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| John Lawless | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 24.7% |
| Connor Swikart | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 14.8% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.