← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University3.77+5.13vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+9.56vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+6.67vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University3.47+3.48vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+1.68vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University3.43+1.72vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College2.50+4.25vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University3.50-0.84vs Predicted
-
9Boston University3.24-0.48vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island2.95-0.68vs Predicted
-
11Yale University4.24-6.18vs Predicted
-
12Stanford University2.93-2.39vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76-2.61vs Predicted
-
14George Washington University2.78-3.66vs Predicted
-
15Eckerd College2.82-5.00vs Predicted
-
16SUNY Maritime College2.14-3.39vs Predicted
-
17Bowdoin College2.92-7.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.13Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
-
11.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
-
9.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
-
7.48Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
-
6.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
-
7.72Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
-
11.25Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
-
7.16Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
-
8.52Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
-
9.32University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
-
4.82Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
-
9.61Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
-
10.39St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
-
10.34George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
-
10.0Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
-
12.61SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
-
9.74Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Bryan | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Connor Swikart | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 14.6% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% |
| Scott Barbano | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Alexander Stewart | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 10.3% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 16.5% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% |
| Kyle Burgess | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% |
| Sam White | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% |
| John Lawless | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 22.3% |
| William Hawk | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.