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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.50+6.13vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+4.73vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.24+5.35vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.77+2.36vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76+5.10vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.50+5.42vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.24-2.31vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.43-0.49vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+0.90vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.95-0.67vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+0.77vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.92-2.45vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.78-2.69vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.93-4.28vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.47-7.63vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.82-5.87vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College2.14-4.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.13Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.35Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.36Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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10.1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
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11.42Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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4.69Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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7.51Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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9.33University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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11.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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9.55Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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10.31George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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9.72Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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7.37Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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10.13Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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12.64SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Herrin | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Stewart | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 11.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Burgess | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 12.1% |
| Nicholas Baird | 15.8% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Marek Zaleski | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% |
| Connor Swikart | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 14.3% | 17.0% |
| William Hawk | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% |
| Sam White | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.3% |
| Scott Barbano | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Schoene | 3.3% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% |
| John Lawless | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 25.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.