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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+5.64vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.93+7.56vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76+7.23vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.24+0.79vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.82+4.75vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.43+1.77vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.95+2.52vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.50-0.83vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.24-0.44vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.47-2.71vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.77-4.55vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.50-0.85vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-3.19vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.92-4.22vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.14-2.50vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-4.25vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.78-6.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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9.56Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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10.23St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
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4.79Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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9.75Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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7.77Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.52University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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7.17Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.56Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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7.29Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.45Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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11.15Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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9.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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9.78Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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12.5SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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11.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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10.28George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Stewart | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% |
| Kyle Burgess | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% |
| Nicholas Baird | 16.1% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Schoene | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 9.4% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 12.3% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% |
| William Hawk | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 4.2% |
| John Lawless | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 14.8% | 24.1% |
| Connor Swikart | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 15.2% |
| Sam White | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.