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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+5.84vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.82+8.13vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.43+4.79vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.01vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.77+1.34vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.50+1.62vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.95+2.63vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.24-3.14vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.50+2.62vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.24-1.65vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.93-1.10vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.47-4.42vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.14-0.24vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-2.02vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76-4.65vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.92-6.12vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.78-6.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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10.13Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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7.79Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.34Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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7.62Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.63University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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4.86Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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11.62Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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8.35Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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9.9Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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7.58Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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12.76SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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11.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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10.35St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
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9.88Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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10.36George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Stewart | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.7% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 10.9% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% |
| Nicholas Baird | 16.9% | 15.3% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 13.9% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.1% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| John Lawless | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 25.1% |
| Connor Swikart | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 17.8% |
| Kyle Burgess | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% |
| William Hawk | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% |
| Sam White | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.