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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.31+2.58vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.60+1.17vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.92+1.22vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.74-0.96vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy1.95-0.84vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.70-2.98vs Predicted
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7Boston University-1.80+0.35vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-2.03-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58Tufts University2.310.2%1st Place
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3.17Brown University2.600.2%1st Place
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4.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.920.1%1st Place
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3.04Bowdoin College2.740.2%1st Place
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4.16Maine Maritime Academy1.950.1%1st Place
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3.02Harvard University2.700.2%1st Place
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7.35Boston University-1.800.0%1st Place
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7.46Bentley University-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Barclift | 16.3% | 14.5% | 17.3% | 17.2% | 17.5% | 16.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Helen Lord | 19.5% | 19.8% | 19.4% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 8.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Javier Ramos | 10.7% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 21.6% | 28.9% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Tom Peabody | 21.3% | 22.2% | 18.2% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 8.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Gorman | 9.4% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 17.9% | 18.8% | 27.1% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Luke O'Connor | 22.2% | 20.8% | 19.1% | 17.6% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Christian Bragdon | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 48.7% | 47.0% |
| Cassey Morello | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 43.8% | 52.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.