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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+2.72vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.75+5.21vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.55+4.81vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.01+2.67vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.53+2.92vs Predicted
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6Harvard University-0.20+5.03vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.34+1.91vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.50+0.54vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.01-2.53vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.80-2.54vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.52-2.88vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.25-1.37vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University-0.80+0.17vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-0.82-0.79vs Predicted
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15McGill University-1.05-1.38vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-1.11-2.00vs Predicted
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17Amherst College-1.69-1.51vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.84-10.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8022.1%1st Place
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7.21Brown University0.757.1%1st Place
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7.81Tufts University0.556.5%1st Place
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6.67Brown University1.018.6%1st Place
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7.92Bowdoin College0.535.9%1st Place
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11.03Harvard University-0.202.4%1st Place
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8.91University of Rhode Island0.344.8%1st Place
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8.54Northeastern University0.504.7%1st Place
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6.47Boston University1.019.2%1st Place
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7.46Tufts University0.805.9%1st Place
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8.12Bowdoin College0.525.7%1st Place
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10.63Boston University0.252.9%1st Place
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13.17Northeastern University-0.801.2%1st Place
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13.21University of New Hampshire-0.821.4%1st Place
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13.62McGill University-1.051.2%1st Place
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14.0University of New Hampshire-1.111.4%1st Place
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15.49Amherst College-1.690.5%1st Place
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7.04University of Vermont0.848.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Yu | 22.1% | 18.6% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emery Diemar | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Kiana Beachy | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sidney Moyer | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cole Amaral | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Pierson Falk | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Carter Anderson | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Selian | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Vogel | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kique Ruiz | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Richard Kalich | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Adrien Blanc | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 10.3% |
| Jake Lacoche | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 9.8% |
| Cecilia Muller | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 17.6% | 14.5% |
| Brendan OBrien | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 17.6% | 16.9% |
| Adrian Whitney | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 16.0% | 42.1% |
| Cooper Smith | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.