← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University3.77+5.26vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.85vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+3.99vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University3.43+3.82vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University3.47+2.39vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island2.95+3.85vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Maritime College2.14+5.71vs Predicted
-
8Yale University4.24-3.12vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University2.78+1.52vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College2.50+1.30vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University3.50-3.36vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76-1.57vs Predicted
-
13Bowdoin College2.92-3.09vs Predicted
-
14Boston University3.24-5.39vs Predicted
-
15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-3.19vs Predicted
-
16Eckerd College2.82-5.78vs Predicted
-
17Stanford University2.93-7.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.26Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
-
6.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
6.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
-
7.82Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
-
7.39Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
-
9.85University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
-
12.71SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
-
4.88Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
-
10.52George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
-
11.3Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
-
7.64Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
-
10.43St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
-
9.91Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
-
8.61Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
-
11.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
-
10.22Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
-
9.83Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Bryan | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% |
| Scott Barbano | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% |
| John Lawless | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 22.5% |
| Nicholas Baird | 16.7% | 15.3% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam White | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 12.1% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Kyle Burgess | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% |
| William Hawk | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Connor Swikart | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 17.4% |
| Andrew Schoene | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.