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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.01+7.19vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+5.24vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.06+5.22vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.98+8.30vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.13+2.76vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+1.63vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+3.06vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.73+1.31vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.94-0.11vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.81-0.92vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.23+3.48vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.32-0.91vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.60-6.78vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-7.71vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.72-5.43vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.05-7.71vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.04-8.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.19Stanford University3.010.1%1st Place
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7.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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8.22Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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12.3Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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7.76Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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10.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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9.31Old Dominion University2.730.1%1st Place
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8.89Roger Williams University2.940.0%1st Place
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9.08Boston University2.810.0%1st Place
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14.48SUNY Maritime College1.230.0%1st Place
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11.09George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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6.22Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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6.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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9.57Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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8.29University of Rhode Island3.050.1%1st Place
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8.39Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Clarida | 7.4% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Liam McCarthy | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Erin Mullins | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 18.1% | 16.1% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| David Larson | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 4.5% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.8% |
| Michael Gemperline | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Charles Welsh | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| James Keegan | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 14.8% | 48.6% |
| Wade Wagner | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.8% |
| Nick Sertl | 12.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Charles Miller | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Casey Gowrie | 5.1% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.