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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.01+7.14vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.04+6.22vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.72+6.54vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+2.21vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.13+2.72vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.06+2.40vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.05+1.27vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-0.85vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+1.19vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.60-3.91vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-3.47vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.32-0.99vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.94-4.22vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.73-4.37vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.81-5.82vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College1.23-1.43vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.98-4.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.14Stanford University3.010.1%1st Place
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8.22Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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9.54Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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6.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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7.72Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.4Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.27University of Rhode Island3.050.1%1st Place
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7.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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10.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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6.09Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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7.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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11.01George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.78Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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9.63Old Dominion University2.730.0%1st Place
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9.18Boston University2.810.0%1st Place
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14.57SUNY Maritime College1.230.0%1st Place
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12.37Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Clarida | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Casey Gowrie | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% |
| Charles Miller | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Liam McCarthy | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Kayla Ellis | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 4.2% |
| Nick Sertl | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| David Larson | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 9.0% |
| Michael Gemperline | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 3.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 3.4% |
| Charles Welsh | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% |
| James Keegan | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 48.9% |
| Emilia Clementi | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 12.9% | 17.3% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.