← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College1.98+10.98vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University3.04+6.15vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+4.35vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+3.37vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island3.05+3.07vs Predicted
-
6Yale University3.13+2.12vs Predicted
-
7Eckerd College2.72+2.54vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University3.60-1.92vs Predicted
-
9Stanford University3.01-0.43vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College3.06-1.93vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Maritime College1.23+3.46vs Predicted
-
12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-5.74vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-2.83vs Predicted
-
14Boston University2.81-4.64vs Predicted
-
15Old Dominion University2.73-5.49vs Predicted
-
16George Washington University2.32-4.79vs Predicted
-
17Roger Williams University2.94-8.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.98Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
-
8.15Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
-
7.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
-
7.37St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
-
8.07University of Rhode Island3.050.1%1st Place
-
8.12Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
-
9.54Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
-
6.08Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
-
8.57Stanford University3.010.1%1st Place
-
8.07Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
-
14.46SUNY Maritime College1.230.0%1st Place
-
6.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
-
10.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
-
9.36Boston University2.810.0%1st Place
-
9.51Old Dominion University2.730.0%1st Place
-
11.21George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
-
8.73Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emilia Clementi | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 17.0% | 15.1% |
| Casey Gowrie | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| David Larson | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Liam McCarthy | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Nick Sertl | 12.7% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Russell Clarida | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| James Keegan | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 49.7% |
| Charles Miller | 9.8% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% |
| Charles Welsh | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 2.8% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 3.9% |
| Wade Wagner | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 9.2% |
| Michael Gemperline | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.