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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.60+2.11vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.31+1.65vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.740.00vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.70-0.92vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy1.95-0.83vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.92-1.83vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-2.03+0.48vs Predicted
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9Boston University-1.80-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11Brown University2.600.2%1st Place
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3.65Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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3.0Bowdoin College2.740.2%1st Place
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3.08Harvard University2.700.2%1st Place
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4.17Maine Maritime Academy1.950.1%1st Place
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4.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.920.1%1st Place
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7.48Bentley University-2.030.0%1st Place
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7.33Boston University-1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helen Lord | 20.9% | 20.6% | 18.3% | 17.2% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Barclift | 14.1% | 15.4% | 16.9% | 17.1% | 19.3% | 15.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Tom Peabody | 23.1% | 19.8% | 19.9% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 7.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Luke O'Connor | 21.2% | 23.1% | 15.5% | 17.0% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| James Gorman | 9.5% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 20.7% | 27.3% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Javier Ramos | 10.7% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 18.5% | 28.2% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Cassey Morello | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 38.3% | 58.0% |
| Christian Bragdon | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 54.2% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.