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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.75+6.26vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.01+4.55vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.01+3.67vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-0.30vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.84+2.02vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.50+2.65vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College0.53+1.01vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.80-0.61vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.55-1.10vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.34-1.23vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.25-0.60vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College0.52-3.79vs Predicted
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13Harvard University-0.20-1.90vs Predicted
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14McGill University-1.05-0.31vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.82-1.70vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University-0.80-2.98vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-1.11-3.20vs Predicted
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18Amherst College-1.69-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.26Brown University0.757.6%1st Place
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6.55Boston University1.018.8%1st Place
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6.67Brown University1.017.8%1st Place
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3.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8023.8%1st Place
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7.02University of Vermont0.847.4%1st Place
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8.65Northeastern University0.505.0%1st Place
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8.01Bowdoin College0.535.8%1st Place
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7.39Tufts University0.806.4%1st Place
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7.9Tufts University0.556.2%1st Place
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8.77University of Rhode Island0.344.2%1st Place
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10.4Boston University0.254.0%1st Place
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8.21Bowdoin College0.525.0%1st Place
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11.1Harvard University-0.202.1%1st Place
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13.69McGill University-1.051.4%1st Place
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13.3University of New Hampshire-0.821.8%1st Place
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13.02Northeastern University-0.801.2%1st Place
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13.8University of New Hampshire-1.110.9%1st Place
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15.58Amherst College-1.690.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emery Diemar | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sidney Moyer | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Andy Yu | 23.8% | 18.4% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Smith | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Carter Anderson | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Cole Amaral | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Blake Vogel | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kiana Beachy | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Pierson Falk | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Richard Kalich | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Kique Ruiz | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Cecilia Muller | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 18.2% | 15.3% |
| Jake Lacoche | 1.8% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 11.3% |
| Adrien Blanc | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 9.6% |
| Brendan OBrien | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 15.7% | 15.9% | 16.1% |
| Adrian Whitney | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 18.1% | 41.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.